مقاله انگلیسی رایگان در مورد برآورد آسیب طوفان با کمک شبکه های عصبی کانولوشنال – تیلور و فرانسیس 2022

Abstract

     Remote sensing provides crucial support for building damage assessment in the wake of hurricanes. This article proposes a coupled deep learning-based model for damage assessment that leverages a large very high-resolution satellite images dataset and a flexibility of building footprint source. Convolutional Neural Networks were used to generate building footprints from pre-hurricane satellite imagery and conduct a classification of incurred damage. We emphasize the advantages of multiclass classification in comparison with traditional binary classification of damage and propose resolving dataset imbalances due to unequal damage impact distribution with a focal loss function. We also investigate differences between relying on learned features using a deep learning approach for damage classification versus a commonly used shallow machine learning classifier, Support Vector Machines, that requires manual feature engineering. The proposed model leads to an 86.3% overall accuracy of damage classification for a case event of Hurricane Michael and an 11% overall accuracy improvement from the Support Vector Machines classifier, suggesting better applicability of such an open-source deep learning-based workflow in disaster management and recovery. Furthermore, the findings can be integrated into emergency response frameworks for automated damage assessment and prioritization of relief efforts.

Introduction

     Hurricanes have been the most expensive type of disaster in the USA (CRED 2019) and historically deathliest, continuing to drive the importance of improving techniques to assess post-hurricane urban damage. The process of such damage assessment involves detection, classification, and evaluation of disaster damage to an economy and society on local, county, state, or tribal levels (FEMA 2016). Remote sensing analysis has proved to be indispensable in aiding these assessment efforts (Adams et al. 2009; Waharte and Trigoni 2010; Stow et al. 2015). In particular, the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) relies on remote sensing analysis to rapidly assess a large-scale impact and monitor areas that cannot be effectively accessed on the ground. The timeliness, accuracy, and semantic information of such remote sensing analysis results are of key interest (Stow et al. 2015).

Conclusions

     In this study, we proposed a damage assessment workflow from VHR big data imagery, xBD, consisting of two CNNs that delineate building footprints and classify hurricane-incurred damage into four categories: un-damaged, lightly damaged, severely damaged, and destroyed buildings. The coupled model allows users to utilize an existing building footprint, unlike unified models. Another key contribution of this study was addressing a class imbalance problem in the xBD dataset with a focal loss function. We examined a case study of Hurricane Michael in 2018 around the Panama City metropolitan area, where our proposed models achieved an overall accuracy of 84.6% for building footprint segmentation and 86.3% for damage classification tasks. The model successfully identified undamaged buildings with an F1-score of 95.4% and predicts three damage classes (minor, major damage, and destroyed) with 59.3%, 68.7%, and 74.2% F1-score, respectively. An output of this model presents a probability vector of each building belonging to damage classes, thus, creating an opportunity for emergency management and first responders to set a higher or lower threshold for alerting about a hurricane damage presence.