مقاله انگلیسی رایگان در مورد بازده نیروی فزاینده، حالت های بازار و پویایی بازار (الزویر)

Cooper, Gutierrez, and Hameed (2004) report that short-run momentum returns are conditioned by market states. 2 Defining the market state as UP when the lagged three-year market return is non-negative and DOWN when it is negative, they find that momentum returns in the U.S. exclusively follow UP markets. In a related study, Asem and Tian (2010) show that the absence of momentum returns in the U.S. following DOWN markets is due to market dynamics. They find that momentum returns in the U.S. are higher when markets continue in the same state than when they transition to a different state to the extent that at times momentum returns are negative during market transitions. Thus, the absence of momentum returns following DOWN markets in the U.S. is the result of momentum profits generated when the market continues in the DOWN state being completely offset by the momentum losses incurred when the market transitions to the UP state. 3 Asem and Tian (2010) suggest that their findings are consistent with the behavioural model of Daniel, Hirshleifer, and Subrahmanyam (1998) but inconsistent with the competing model of Hong and Stein (1999) that predicts higher momentum returns only when the market either continues or transitions to the UP state.