مقاله انگلیسی رایگان در مورد عوامل تعیین کننده نوسانات روزانه در حجم مسافر هوایی

مقاله سال 2016

and aims 1.1. Aims Air transport connectivity is a key element in a city’s competitiveness and attractiveness. Milan, in northern Italy, plays a primary role internationally in the fields of fashion, design, commerce and services in general. This national and international importance translates into a large number of events annually taking place in the city, such as trade fairs, or conferences. In addition, Milan’s area is among the most populated in the country and generates the largest outbound market in Italy, for both leisure and business traffic.

The effect of these events in terms of air traffic flows to and from the city, is not captured by seasonal or monthly fluctuations, which is the typical information available in statistics and studied in literature (see below). Similarly, the positioning of departures and arrivals during holidays is important to foresee the most crowded days. A more detailed analysis of fluctuations at the daily level allows to more precisely understand and interpret the effect of events and holidays, which is otherwise impossible at the seasonal scale.

a. Events such as trade fairs last a few days, but may involve a large number of passengers, generating large daily peaks not recognisable at the monthly scale; b. When trade fairs follow very tight calendars, their effect may overlap, sharpening the peaks; c. Holiday periods are not homogeneous, there are “peaks within peaks”. The duration of events and holidays also matters in determining when, and how spread out, the arrival/departure periods are; d. The effect of holidays could be asymmetrical, with arrivals concentrated and departures spread out, or vice-versa;e. Peak days within the week may change according to the month/ season.