مقاله انگلیسی رایگان در مورد مدل سری زمانی فازی برای پیش بینی قیمت سهام – الزویر ۲۰۱۸

مقاله انگلیسی رایگان در مورد مدل سری زمانی فازی برای پیش بینی قیمت سهام – الزویر ۲۰۱۸

 

مشخصات مقاله
انتشار مقاله سال ۲۰۱۸
تعداد صفحات مقاله انگلیسی ۱۳ صفحه
هزینه دانلود مقاله انگلیسی رایگان میباشد.
منتشر شده در نشریه الزویر
نوع نگارش مقاله مقاله پژوهشی (Research article)
نوع مقاله ISI
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله Fuzzy time-series model based on rough set rule induction for forecasting stock price
ترجمه عنوان مقاله مدل سری زمانی فازی بر اساس استنتاج قوانین مجموعه راف برای پیش بینی قیمت سهام
فرمت مقاله انگلیسی  PDF
رشته های مرتبط اقتصاد
گرایش های مرتبط اقتصادسنجی، اقتصاد مالی و اقتصاد پولی
مجله محاسبات عصبی – Neurocomputing
دانشگاه National Yunlin University of Science and Technology – Taiwan
کلمات کلیدی مجموعه های راف، سری زمانی فازی، سود مالی
کلمات کلیدی انگلیسی Rough sets, Fuzzy time-series, Financial profits
شناسه دیجیتال – doi
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.neucom.2018.04.014
کد محصول E8623
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۱٫ Introduction

Stock investing is an exciting and challenging monetary activity, and forecasting stock trend and price plays an important role in stock market. The stock investors could have a chance to make much money in stock returns with wise decisions; however the most investors keep a pessimistic image with a heavy loss of money in stock investment. Due to stock market behavior is nonlinearity and non-stationary, and the stock price fluctuation is extremely hard to predict correctly if without have experienced or expert knowledge. Up to date, it is difficult to build a general model for forecasting stock price accurately. Nevertheless, many researchers continue to establish feasible model for approximating stock market behaviors. Forecasting activities play an important role in our daily life; the goal of forecasting activities is to increase accuracy and profit, such as chasing predict [38] and control prediction. In financial engineering, Kuo et al. [17] have demonstrated that the general techniques used for stock market prediction are mathematical and statistical models. In time-series analysis [14], there are many time series models such as ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average model, [3]) and GARCH (Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity, [2]), these models have been applied to forecast stock price and trends in the financial market. However, statistical models usually deal with linear forecasting model and variables must obey statistical normal distribution for better forecasting performance. If the research data are represented by linguistic values (also named it, “linguistic intervals” such as linguistic values of age is very young, young, old) or the number of sample data is very little, the traditional forecasting methods maybe generate the bias of forecast or poor results. Therefore, many researchers have proposed different forecasting models based on fuzzy theory [37] to solve time-series problems with linguistic values. Song and Chissom [27] first proposed a fuzzy time-series model to forecast the enrollments at University of Alabama; the fuzzy time-series model constructed the fuzzy relation R and used a Max–Min composition operator to calculate forecasting values. Chen [4] proposed a fuzzy time-series model which used equal interval lengths to partition the universe of discourse and generate forecasting rules with a simplified calculation process. However, in stock forecasting, Huarng [12] extended Chen’s model with additional heuristic forecasting rules to produce forecasts. In a subsequent study, Huarng proposed another model to define interval length with distribution based length and average-based length (2001). And Yu [35] proposed a weighted fuzzy time-series model with recurrent fuzzy relationships to produce forecasts. Sun et al. [30] did a prediction of Chinese stock index (CSI) future prices using fuzzy sets and multivariate fuzzy time series method. Aladag˘ et al. [1] proposed a partial high order Fuzzy lagged variable selection in fuzzy time series with genetic algorithms.

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