Abstract

۱٫ Introduction

۲٫ PV cell model and design parameters

۳٫ Fuzzy Distribution of PV cell parameters

۴٫ Global sensitivity analysis of PV cell parameters

۵٫ Analysis and discussion

۶٫ Conclusion

CRediT authorship contribution statement

Declaration of competing interest

Acknowledgments

References

Abstract

     Photovoltaic cells can directly convert solar energy into electrical energy, which is environmentally friendly and has a wide range of applications. In practical engineering, the uncertainty of photovoltaic cell parameters has an important impact on cell performance. In order to study the influence of parameter uncertainty on the output performance of photovoltaic cells, a photovoltaic cell model is established and five parameters are selected: irradiation intensity, photovoltaic cell surface temperature, temperature coefficient, equivalent series resistance and equivalent parallel resistance. The influence of these parameters on the output power and conversion efficiency of photovoltaic cells is studied by using the global sensitivity analysis method based on fuzzy theory. The principal and total global sensitivity indexes describing the influence of each parameter on the output performance were therefore calculated and ranked. The key parameters influencing the performance of photovoltaic cells were determined to be related to cell surface temperature and equivalent parallel resistance. In actual production and life, the output performance of photovoltaic cells can be improved by controlling these two factors. The results of this study can help to guide the performance analysis and parameter optimization of photovoltaic cells, accelerating the development and improving the adoption of photovoltaic systems.

Introduction

     With the aggravation of the global energy crisis and increasing environmental pollution, the development of solar energy occupies a critical position in the energy structure (Wang et al., 2021b, Xiong et al., 2022). As photovoltaic (PV) cells directly convert solar energy into electric energy, they represent an increasingly popular source of renewable energy. The number of deployed PV power generation systems has significantly increased worldwide (Wang et al., 2021a, Wu et al., 2022), and many countries have introduced grid pricing policies to accelerate investment in PV power generation. Therefore, research into the performance of PV cells is of great significance for ensuring their continued adoption (Sharma et al., 2021, Sadan and Dwivedi, 2020). To date, many experts and scholars have studied the parameters of PV cells (Chehreh Ghadikolaei, 2021, Chen et al., 2020, Chandran et al., 2021, Ganesh Pardhu and Kota, 2021, Ji et al., 2021). For example, Chen et al. (2020) used variables reduction and improved shark optimization technique to extract photovoltaic cells parameters, Chandran et al. (2021) proposed an improved distribution estimation algorithm to estimate the optimal parameters of fuel cells and solar cells, and Ganesh Pardhu and Kota (2021) proposed a new random radial shift optimization algorithm based on a group algorithm to extract the unknown parameters of solar PV cells. The confirmation and extraction of parameters of photovoltaic cells and their components is of great significance for evaluating the performance of photovoltaic cell systems and preventing aging and failure of systems and components.

Conclusion

     To address the instability of PV cell output performance according to the inherent fluctuation of design parameters, this study applied the global sensitivity index based on fuzzy theory to measure the influence of inherent design parameter fluctuation on the stability of PV cell output power  and conversion efficiency . The Monte Carlo method was used to calculate the principal and global sensitivity indexes of the design variables based on the credibility variance. The results show that compared with the cell surface temperature  and equivalent parallel resistance , the total global sensitivity index values of the short-circuit current temperature coefficient , irradiation intensity , and equivalent series resistance  are minimal for both the output power  and conversion efficiency , and the effects of their variation can therefore be ignored. Therefore, the key design parameters of PV cells are related to the working environment () and material (). In actual production and application, the output performance of PV cells can therefore be improved by controlling material selection(ensure a consistent equivalent parallel resistance ) and expected working environment temperature . The results of this study can provide guidance for the design and optimization of future PV cells, and further improve their application and utility to increase adoption.